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China's Democratic Future: How It Will Happen and Where It Will Lead ebook

China's Democratic Future: How It Will Happen and Where It Will Lead Ebook

 By Bruce Gilley

 Language: English

 Publish Year : 2005

 

Download China's Democratic Future: How It Will Happen and Where It Will Lead

 

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E-Book review:

From Publishers Weekly

This book is an optimistic prediction from a journalist with more than a decade's experience reporting for the Far Eastern Economic Review. Gilley argues, against Huntington's Clash of Civilizations, that China's culture is not alien to democratic possibilities and that democratization will result not from popular overthrow of the existing Communist one-party state but through gradual reform from above. He anticipates a "revolution in values" through which the elite will becomes more public-spirited and less self-interested. Such faith in a moral elite is a prominent shared theme in both Eastern and Western political philosophies, but recent trends in Chinese political culture point toward deepening corruption and cynicism rather than such a moral revival. Gilley's arguments and evidence are thoughtful, provocative and well expressed, but his optimism seems forced. He sees hope in the contradiction between aspirations and opportunities generated by a market economy and the restrictions of an autocratic political system. He speaks of "Society" versus the "State." However, this neat dichotomy obscures the reality that most of China's business elite is successful because of close ties to state officials; the one-party bureaucratic state is part of what stabilizes the fortunes of those now on top. Multiparty political competition and true rule of law could be more dangerous to China's business elite than muddling through with the bureaucratic devil they already know. Though Gilley may overestimate the incentive for insiders to promote democratization, this book is an important contribution to the debate about China's future.Copyright © Reed Business Information, a division of Reed Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
--This text refers to the

edition.

From

Presently a doctoral candidate in politics at Princeton University, Gilley has also reported on China for the Far Eastern Economic Review and coauthored China's New Rulers (2002). Here he elaborates on a political prediction: by approximately 2020, the ruling Chinese Communist Party (CCP) will leave and democracy will arrive. He is confident in this forecast because recent transitions from dictatorships, both right and left, to democracy mean that the CCP will not be immune to the global trend. Sensitively observant of China's sociopolitical scene, Gilley discourses on the balance of reforming and reactionary forces in the CCP, and speculates whether the party's exit from power will be violent or peaceful. Expecting the latter, Gilley proceeds to detailed analysis of possible structures for a post-CCP constitution and, possibly, a federal rather than a unitary China. Although the author speaks to his immediate audience of China specialists such as himself, his prose is accessible to anyone wishing to study contemporary China in a serious way. Gilbert TaylorCopyright © American Library Association. All rights reserved
--This text refers to the

edition.

 

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